"Where inflation is headed is perhaps the biggest question in global economics at the moment. Will the recent surge prove transitory as central bankers hope or linger for longer? "So who out there are the best forecasters? According to a new study by Joseph Gagnon and Madi Sarsenbayev it depends on the timeframe…" Read the full article here: Full Article
"Ebrahim Raisi’s election as president of Iran came as no surprise. All those who might have been a threat to him were disqualified. He was the choice of the supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, and small wonder: Few people better embody the ideology of the Islamic Republic. He will not open Iran up to the outside world, and will certainly not look to accommodate the United States in any way. As for Iran’s behavior in the Middle East, he has made clear [...]
"Now a Senior Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, General Brooks spoke to TIME about opportunities for a breakthrough with North Korea during the Biden Administration…" Read the full article here: Full Article
"The chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Mark Milley, says the climate crisis will drive instability in some global regions. The Defense Department has several climate initiatives underway. John Conger, former principal deputy under secretary of defense (comptroller) and director of the Center for Climate and Security, said one should think of climate change as a factor that interacts with all other threats rather than a separate problem…" Watch the full interview here: Full Interview
"Now it is the Kim regime holding out. It is a well-established tactic for the North Koreans, at times treating even low-level engagement as a reward, said Daniel Russel, the top State Department official for Asia during the Obama administration. "'They make you work for it, sweat for it, and ultimately beg for it, so that when they do at some point sit down, you already owe them big time,' said Mr. Russel, who is now a vice president of the [...]
"In this episode of 'Intelligence Matters,' host Michael Morell speaks with Ambassador Dennis Ross, a leading expert on the Middle East, former senior U.S. diplomat and currently counselor and distinguished fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Ross and Morell discuss recent political changes in Israel, including the outlook for the governing coalition and the background of newly elected Prime Minister Naftali Bennett. Ross, a former senior adviser on the Middle East to multiple U.S. presidents and secretaries of [...]
"For years, the U.S., along with other Western and Arab countries, have sought to replace or isolate the Syrian regime. Many supported the rebels fighting the government of President Bashar al-Assad. But now that his government is prevailing in the long civil war there, countries are turning towards the regime again. NPR's Ruth Sherlock reports…" Read the full transcript here: Full Transcript
"In his recent article 'Biden’s Everything Doctrine' (April 22), Jeremy Shapiro correctly identifies serious inconsistencies in the new U.S. administration’s foreign policy. Washington now promises both a 'foreign policy for the middle class' and engagement on seemingly every global problem. Many of Shapiro’s remedies—scaling back frantic interventions, making choices between values and allies, and withdrawing from Afghanistan—are sensible. But his piece fails to contend with a long-standing premise of U.S. foreign policy that has contributed to the contradiction he identifies..." Read [...]
"Ambassador Dennis Ross, a distinguished fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, told the Post that 'the issue is not whether the JCPOA will change; the point is working with the administration on what is going to happen between now and 2030 when the real sunset provisions and limitations on the size of the Iranian nuclear infrastructure are all lifted…'" Read the full article here: Full Article
"The confusion over the PDI shows that there is still debate over 'how to deal with the China military challenge,' even as the question of whether Beijing is a priority has been settled, said Elbridge Colby, who served as deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy and force development under Trump…" Read the full article here: Full Article